_-_copia.jpg?w=800&resize=800,500&ssl=1 "Salvador Nasralla")
Several surveys of public opinion rank Salvador Nasralla as the leading candidate in voter preferences for the 2025 general elections, amidst a backdrop of competition among the prominent political parties in the country.
Five months before the general elections in Honduras, recent poll results show a competitive scenario, with Salvador Nasralla, the current Liberal Party candidate, leading the polls in two of the main studies published in May. These data reflect a stage of key political decisions, where possible opposition alliances and the consolidation of candidacies could have a decisive impact on the course of the electoral process.
Polls place Nasralla in first place
A research done in May 2025 by the American company Expedition Strategies shows Salvador Nasralla leading with 25.2% of preferences, followed by Nasry Asfura from the National Party with 21.4%, and Rixi Moncada from the current LIBRE party with 16%. Moreover, Nasralla emerges as the preferred choice to spearhead a potential opposition coalition, gaining 37% backing in that context.
A second survey, carried out by the Paradigma polling company from May 4 to 17, shows comparable outcomes. In this survey, Nasralla achieves 25.6%, followed once more by Asfura with 21.2% and Moncada with 11.3%. The alignment of the two surveys strengthens the view that Nasralla’s leadership is steady at this stage of the election timeline.
Inconsistencies among research and debate about data utilization
Though these two studies appear to align, the published measurements don’t completely agree. A survey from TResearch International, made public in March 2025, presents an alternative outcome: Rixi Moncada was ahead with 44.9%, followed by Nasralla at 27.5% and Asfura at 23.4%. The differences in the outcomes are credited to the timing of the research and the methods employed, though no additional information has been provided.
Amid these differences, a dispute emerged due to the spread of a supposed survey linked to TResearch, which indicated Nasralla as leading. The firm openly disclaimed the validity of the document, stating it was not part of any analysis carried out by them and refuted the unapproved use of their brand and emblem. This incident has sparked the ongoing discussion about the distortion of surveys and their effect on public sentiment, particularly in a scenario marked by intense political division.
General overview and anticipated outcomes for party definitions
With elections set for November 2025, the political scene in Honduras is evolving as the three major groups—LIBRE, the National Party, and the Liberal Party—remain in open competition. Nasralla, a former presidential contender who now leads a segment of the Liberal Party, is re-emerging as a crucial figure in the lead-up to the election.
The possibility of an opposition alliance remains under discussion, particularly among sectors seeking to unite against the ruling party’s continuity. The support Nasralla is receiving as the potential leader of a coalition suggests that his role could go beyond his individual candidacy, depending on the party decisions made in the coming months.
An electoral process marked by institutional uncertainty
The dissemination of contradictory polls and the misuse of statistical data reflect the challenges facing the Honduran electoral process in terms of transparency and credibility. Added to this are tensions between the main political actors and public expectations regarding a contest that, for the moment, appears to have no clear majority.
The development of the contenders, the creation of partnerships, and the stance of established parties in comparison with emerging coalitions will shape the political atmosphere in the latter part of the year. Within this scenario, the importance of voting institutions and civic groups in monitoring and ensuring a fair process will be vital for maintaining democratic stability in the nation.
